Track Record
Every decision TradingAdvisor makes is logged the day it's made and scored against what the market did next. Nothing is edited or deleted. How each source is doing, and its status: Sources.
Signals
How scoring works
Short-term trading setups and long-run portfolio picks are logged with exact levels. A trading signal is a win when price reaches its take-profit before its stop-loss, a loss when the stop is hit first, and open until either happens. Signals scored with the current method (v2) enter at the next session's open (not the advertised level), pay costs and slippage, expire after 15 sessions, and record gaps; if that open is already past a level the signal is unfilled. Signals scored before v2 keep the advertised-level scoring until they are re-scored. R measures profit in units of the planned risk. A portfolio pick is a hit when price reaches its target range by the review date, missed when the review date passes without it, and open until either happens; its result is measured in return %, never mixed with R. For portfolio picks the headline rate is the share of picks in profit at today's price, open ones at their current price; “target reached so far” counts only picks that already hit.
Trading signals (results in R)
- Signals
- 29
- Open
- 3
- Not filled
- 0
- Wins
- 13
- Losses
- 13
- Win rateThe share of resolved signals that hit their target before their stop. With only a small number of signals, this can be luck — treat it as provisional.
- 50%
- Avg RR is a result in units of the risk planned: +1R gained what the stop risked, −1R lost it. The average combines wins and losses into one number.
- +0.08R
- Open underwater
- 1
95% CI95% confidence interval: the range the true value most likely sits in, given how few signals there are so far. A wide range means the number is still uncertain. — Win rate 32–68% · Avg R −0.41R to +0.48R · 26 resolved over 13 weeks
vs random timing: −0.03R vs +0.08R for random entry days (95% band −0.35R to +0.53R) · p 0.70 · 23 signals
68 kept for the record but not counted — each one, and why, is in the changelog.
Portfolio picks (return %)
- Picks
- 96
- Open
- 65
- Target reached so far
- 31
- Missed
- 0
- Win rate (at today's prices)The share of long-term picks in profit at today's price: every priced pick counts, a resolved one at its exit and an open one at its current price. With only a few picks, this can be luck — treat it as provisional.
- 56%
- Avg returnThe average percentage return of long-term picks at today's price: resolved picks at their exit, open ones at their current price, from the entry price.
- +1.6%
- Open underwater
- 40
95% CI95% confidence interval: the range the true value most likely sits in, given how few signals there are so far. A wide range means the number is still uncertain. — Win rate 46–66% · Avg return −0.4% to +4.7% · 93 priced over 11 weeks
Picks 30+ days old (46): 70% in profit now · 21 reached target (46%)
vs ECH+SPY over the same periods: +10.5% vs +0.1% · excess +10.4% (95% CI +7.6% to +17.1%) · p 0.001 · 24 picks
105 kept for the record but not counted — each one, and why, is in the changelog.
As of Nov 7, 2026 — the numbers are refreshed after each daily scoring run. Intervals: Wilson 95% for rates; for averages, a 95% bootstrap that resamples whole weeks, since signals published in the same week share a market. Against chance (weekly): each trading signal is compared with the same trade — instrument, direction, stop and target — entered on a random day within 20 sessions of it, and each portfolio pick with its market's benchmark over the same dates; p is the chance of doing at least as well by luck.
| Entry date | Symbol | Horizon | Dir | Entry price | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | EPD | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open |
| Nov 6, 2026 | CVS | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open |
| Nov 6, 2026 | ROST | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open |
| Nov 5, 2026 | NLY | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −2.4% · max dd −2.4% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | RIPLEY.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 435.05 | Target hit +2.3% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | EOG | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −0.8% · max dd −0.8% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | LTM.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −0.0% · max dd −0.0% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | PRU | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −6.8% · max dd −6.8% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | KKR | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −6.3% · max dd −6.3% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | PB | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −3.6% · max dd −3.6% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | USB | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −4.8% · max dd −4.8% |
| Nov 5, 2026 | CI | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −7.7% · max dd −7.7% |
| Nov 4, 2026 | EMR | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −2.4% · max dd −2.4% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | EOG | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −5.8% · max dd −7.2% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | PH | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −2.3% · max dd −5.0% |
| Nov 3, 2026 | CVS | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −5.2% · max dd −9.6% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | PB | Portfolio | LONG | 72.510 | Target hit +1.5% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | VRTX | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −2.3% · max dd −5.2% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | ENELAM.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −6.3% · max dd −8.0% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | HABITAT.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −0.7% · max dd −1.5% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | ETN | Portfolio | LONG | 373.92 | Target hit +4.8% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | UBER | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +3.7% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | BAP | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −2.2% · max dd −2.2% |
| Nov 2, 2026 | VZ | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +3.8% |
| Oct 30, 2026 | COP | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −10.6% · max dd −11.2% |
| Oct 30, 2026 | ANET | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −1.6% · max dd −8.3% |
| Oct 30, 2026 | TMUS | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +8.0% |
| Oct 30, 2026 | SHOP | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −7.9% · max dd −11.8% |
| Oct 30, 2026 | ENELGXCH.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −1.7% · max dd −1.9% |
| Oct 27, 2026 | NG=F | Trading | SHORT | 🔒 | Open −0.65R |
| Oct 27, 2026 | ZW=F | Trading | SHORT | 🔒 | Open +0.49R |
| Oct 27, 2026 | CHRD | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −12.5% · max dd −15.2% |
| Oct 27, 2026 | XOM | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −9.7% · max dd −10.0% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | LTM.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 22.000 | Target hit +6.2% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | AZN | Portfolio | LONG | 171.54 | Target hit +8.8% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | RF | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −1.1% · max dd −1.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | ZC=F | Trading | SHORT | 🔒 | Open +0.51R |
| Oct 23, 2026 | BAH | Portfolio | LONG | 78.640 | Target hit +12.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | STZ | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +2.5% · max dd −6.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | LLY | Portfolio | LONG | 1,304.15 | Target hit +5.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | LIN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +1.1% · max dd −1.3% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | BTC/USDT | Trading | LONG | 84,011.97 | Stopped −0.22R |
| Oct 22, 2026 | MSFT | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −0.4% · max dd −4.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | GOOGL | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −13.8% · max dd −15.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | XOM | Portfolio | LONG | 178.45 | Target hit +3.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | ENELCHILE.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −3.3% · max dd −7.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | AXP | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +2.6% · max dd −0.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | CFG | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +0.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | EOG | Portfolio | LONG | 157.52 | Target hit +5.1% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | GC=F | Trading | SHORT | 4,181.10 | Expired +0.47R |
| Oct 15, 2026 | DHR | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +0.9% · max dd −1.7% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | SI=F | Trading | SHORT | 55.790 | Expired +1.40R |
| Oct 14, 2026 | PAA | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −4.3% · max dd −4.3% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | CL=F | Trading | LONG | 94.740 | Expired +0.12R |
| Oct 12, 2026 | NG=F | Trading | LONG | 3.180 | Stopped −1.00R |
| Oct 12, 2026 | BAH | Portfolio | LONG | 74.730 | Target hit +5.1% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | ORI | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +2.9% · max dd −2.0% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SIRI | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +17.9% · max dd −3.6% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | SPY | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −5.2% · max dd −5.5% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | WFC | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +4.3% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | ZS=F | Trading | LONG | 1,304.75 | Stopped −1.00R |
| Oct 5, 2026 | ACN | Portfolio | LONG | 196.30 | Target hit +6.1% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | BSANTANDER.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −3.4% · max dd −7.2% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | ENTEL.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −2.4% · max dd −2.4% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | ENELCHILE.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 81.610 | Target hit +6.4% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | ITAUCL.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −3.6% · max dd −4.4% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | CENCOMALLS.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +0.0% · max dd −3.2% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | IAM.SN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −2.2% · max dd −2.8% |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SB=F | Trading | LONG | 18.960 | Expired +0.76R |
| Oct 1, 2026 | OKE | Portfolio | LONG | 84.790 | Target hit +6.5% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | PR | Portfolio | LONG | 21.410 | Target hit +15.8% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | BBY | Portfolio | LONG | 89.530 | Target hit +5.2% |
| Sep 28, 2026 | HPQ | Portfolio | LONG | 31.290 | Target hit +7.9% |
| Sep 28, 2026 | JEF | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −0.4% · max dd −8.4% |
| Sep 28, 2026 | ZTS | Portfolio | LONG | 70.500 | Target hit +7.3% |
| Sep 28, 2026 | MSFT | Portfolio | LONG | 505.42 | Target hit +10.0% |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SPY | Trading | LONG | 771.35 | Stopped −0.81R |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ETH/USDT | Trading | LONG | 2,690.48 | Stopped −1.09R |
| Sep 25, 2026 | HBAN | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +0.5% · max dd −1.9% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | MO | Portfolio | LONG | 68.500 | Target hit +4.3% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | ACN | Portfolio | LONG | 177.13 | Target hit +19.9% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | BMY | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +0.6% · max dd −8.2% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | PRU | Portfolio | LONG | 119.17 | Target hit +6.3% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | T | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −14.8% · max dd −18.5% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | RF | Portfolio | LONG | 27.290 | Target hit +4.3% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | KEY | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +2.6% · max dd −2.7% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | FIS | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −18.1% · max dd −18.1% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | CNA | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +2.3% · max dd −3.0% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | USB | Portfolio | LONG | 58.640 | Target hit +4.1% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | TROW | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +3.4% · max dd −5.0% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | TFC | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +4.4% · max dd −3.6% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | AU | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −5.6% · max dd −19.0% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | VICI | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +6.6% · max dd −3.1% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | PNC | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +0.8% · max dd −3.9% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | PAA | Portfolio | LONG | 24.630 | Target hit +1.2% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | HG=F | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −8.3% · max dd −8.4% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | STZ | Portfolio | LONG | 113.99 | Target hit +21.9% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | MKC | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +1.6% · max dd −7.3% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | AAPL | Portfolio | LONG | 336.04 | Target hit +3.6% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | BTC/USDT | Trading | LONG | 84,383.01 | Stopped −1.07R |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ALLY | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −1.8% · max dd −5.5% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FNF | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open +2.9% · max dd −9.3% |
| Aug 24, 2026 | BTC/USDT | Trading | LONG | 78,949.28 | Expired −0.25R |
| Aug 21, 2026 | NVDA | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −14.5% · max dd −16.9% |
| Aug 20, 2026 | ETH/USDT | Trading | LONG | 2,281.75 | Target hit +1.52R |
| Aug 17, 2026 | PR | Portfolio | LONG | 21.600 | Target hit +10.4% |
| Aug 13, 2026 | PAA | Portfolio | LONG | 23.210 | Target hit +3.0% |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ET | Portfolio | LONG | 🔒 | Open −9.6% · max dd −9.6% |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HST | Portfolio | LONG | 23.085 | Target hit +8.7% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | AAPL | Trading | SHORT | 306.65 | Stopped −0.95R |
| Aug 10, 2026 | SI=F | Trading | LONG | 64.145 | Expired +0.28R |
| Aug 9, 2026 | CL=F | Trading | SHORT | 78.180 | Expired −0.45R |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SB=F | Trading | LONG | 16.450 | Target hit +2.00R |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SPY | Trading | LONG | 773.26 | Expired −0.33R |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BTC/USDT | Trading | SHORT | 64,154.30 | Stopped −1.02R |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GC=F | Trading | LONG | 4,302.40 | Target hit +2.00R |
| Aug 3, 2026 | SNDK | Portfolio | LONG | 1,160.19 | Target hit +56.1% |
| Jul 29, 2026 | SPY | Trading | SHORT | 739.54 | Stopped −1.39R |
| Jul 28, 2026 | LRCX | Portfolio | LONG | 273.34 | Target hit +23.3% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | CL=F | Trading | LONG | 86.350 | Stopped −1.15R |
| Jul 13, 2026 | SB=F | Trading | LONG | 14.800 | Expired +0.35R |
| Jul 13, 2026 | NG=F | Trading | SHORT | 2.906 | Expired +0.57R |
| Jul 10, 2026 | ETH/USDT | Trading | LONG | 1,795.23 | Expired +0.65R |
| Jul 7, 2026 | AAPL | Trading | LONG | 312.66 | Target hit +2.04R |
| Jul 7, 2026 | ZS=F | Trading | LONG | 1,193.50 | Expired +0.55R |